Message Board

XOM monthly

hiker — Sun, 22 Nov 2009 18:01:15 GMT

Nov 20

XOM monthly chart:

* based on prior monthly closes, price residing above $74 is bullish confirmation ... while it sustains the advance above $74

Forum: Hiker's Habitat

Ratio Adjusted NYSE AD Line

fib_1618 — Sun, 22 Nov 2009 17:16:21 GMT

Quote:

Less than 1500 data points to go to the next target, the all time highs, where some sort of pause is to be expected.

Well, we got to within 824 data points of the all time highs before our expectation of a consolidation took place.

As you can see, the short and intermediate term EMA's are doing a fairly good job in keeping the A/D data intact which has highly bullish implications once this digestion period of the previous gains terminates. From that point, we should then see an all out frontal attack on the all time highs and beyond. If, however, more time is needed and we see breadth of market move below the 5% Trend (39 day EMA), the ultimate stopping point should come in and around the old 1959 ratio adjusted highs.

I'm also including a longer term chart of the data for a historical perspective.

Stay tuned.

Fib

Forum: Main Board

Cumulative Charts - 11/20/09

fib_1618 — Sat, 21 Nov 2009 21:44:37 GMT

Are now up and can be reviewed by clicking here.

Fib

Forum: Main Board

NYSE & PM Breadth Data - 11/20/09

fib_1618 — Sat, 21 Nov 2009 15:41:27 GMT

Forum: Main Board

Cumulative Charts - 11/13/09

fib_1618 — Sat, 14 Nov 2009 15:59:42 GMT

Are now up and can be reviewed by clicking here.

Fib

Forum: Main Board

NYSE & PM Breadth Data - 11/13/09

fib_1618 — Sat, 14 Nov 2009 14:15:38 GMT

Forum: Main Board

Escape velocity reached yet?

kean — Tue, 10 Nov 2009 19:07:24 GMT

Fib,

Last Thursday you made a post on TT as a reply to an eager bull believing the "blast-off" was underway. In it you said:

"Ahhh...but is there enough fuel in the tanks to allow the shuttle to achieve escape velocity?

The internals are showing its still a bit early on this end...just a normal reflex bounce, with a bit more consolidation needed before we see the next phase higher.

Patience."

Has your opinion changed since that time, or is there more down-side to go before the fuel tanks are replenished?

Thanks for your thoughts.

Tim

Forum: Main Board

Deja Vu All Over Again?

fib_1618 — Tue, 10 Nov 2009 00:40:30 GMT

Call it a fractal, something that looks familiar, or a money making opportunity...your choice.

(watch the dates - 4 month offset)

Fib

Forum: ETF Trading

Know Your Bolsheviks!

fib_1618 — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 14:11:16 GMT

In the cover of night, while no one was looking, and without proper review.

Shameful.

http://clerk.house.gov/evs/2009/roll887.xml

http://docs.house.gov/rules/health/111_ahcaa.pdf

Forum: Fundamentally Speaking

NYSE & PM Breadth Data - 11/6/09

fib_1618 — Sun, 08 Nov 2009 00:40:46 GMT

Please be sure to vote in the above poll...thank you.

Forum: Main Board

Cumulative Charts - 11/6/09

fib_1618 — Sat, 07 Nov 2009 16:07:21 GMT

Are now up and can be reviewed by clicking here.

Fib

Forum: Main Board

price & breadth data

hiker — Sat, 07 Nov 2009 00:11:18 GMT

continued from -

http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=3785025

Friday, Nov 6 chart update

cumulative NYAD (breadth) with selected equity index prices vs. their major price horizontals:

* XLF could look better, and note that in addition to $14.70 resistance now remaining overhead:

the XLF weekly close high since October, 2008, also remains a major problem during intraday spike highs for all of 2009 / this is saying something very clearly and it is difficult to imagine that the major market averages will be able to achieve sustainable new swing highs without XLF cooperating

Forum: Hiker's Habitat

SSEC weekly w/ copper, CRB & SPX

hiker — Fri, 06 Nov 2009 10:53:41 GMT

continued from -

http://forums.technicalwatch.com/post?id=3672035

Nov 5 chart update -

SSEC weekly chart with copper futures, CRB & SPX:

* $2,900 now represents nearby horizontal support for the Shanghai index

* $1,057 is an important SPX horizontal price (daily closes) from a long-term perspective ... bulls now want to see price remain above $1057 for daily/weekly closes

Forum: Hiker's Habitat

October Monster Index - US

fib_1618 — Thur, 05 Nov 2009 13:24:38 GMT

The Monster Employment Index edged up one point in October, indicating a mild pick-up in online recruitment activity at the onset of the fourth quarter. Year-on-year the index is now down 20 percent which is the most moderate annual rate of decline since October 2008.

The Monster Employment Index is a monthly gauge of U.S. online job demand based on a real-time review of millions of employer job opportunities culled from a large representative selection of corporate career Web sites and job boards, including Monster.

During October, online job availability rose in seven of the Indexs 20 industry sectors and in 10 of the 23 occupational categories monitored. Index results for the past 13 months are as follows:

Oct. 09	Sept. 09	Aug. 09	Jul. 09	Jun. 09	May. 09	Apr. 09	Mar. 09	Feb. 09	Jan. 09	Dec. 08	Nov. 08	Oct. 08
120	119	121	114	117	118	120	118	122	118	131	143	150

"The rise in the October Index, along with an improvement in the annual rate, indicate a mild expansion in the underlying employer demand for workers" said Jesse Harriott, senior vice president and chief knowledge officer at Monster Worldwide. "While the decline in consumer confidence has likely contributed to reduced job demand in the retail and hospitality sectors, employers are actively recruiting in the healthcare and public sectors, resulting in stability of the overall Index."

Healthcare and Social Assistance Registers Largest Monthly Gain in Online Job Demand in October
Online job demand in the health care and social assistance industry registered the highest rate of increase in October amid strong job posting growth among both practitioners/technical and support occupations. The public administration sector also noted a jump in recruiting activity, while mining, quarrying and oil and gas extraction; manufacturing; and utilities experienced modest gains in October.

In contrast, the retail sales industry experienced an uncharacteristic dip for the second consecutive month in October, indicating sluggish seasonal hiring among retailers for this years holiday period. Arts/entertainment; accommodation and food services; and real estate also edged lower on the month.

Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting is the only industry category showing greater online job availability compared to a year ago.

Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations See Greatest Increase in Online Job Availability in October
Amid rising needs for health services, healthcare practitioners and technical; and healthcare support occupations registered increases in October, indicating a bounce-back in demand for health services workers following reduced demand in the previous two quarters.

Demand for protective service occupations also rose in October, while community and social services; and military specific edged higher contributing to the growth of the public administration industry as a whole.

Meanwhile, opportunities in the food preparation and serving category fell, indicating that the hospitality industry maybe pessimistic about end-of-year conditions.

On an annual basis, farming, fishing and forestry remains the only occupational category to exhibit greater demand than a year ago.

Online Job Availability Increases in Eight of Nine U.S. Census Bureau Regions in October
Online job demand increased in all U.S. Census Bureau regions except West South Central in October. Mid-Atlantic registered the highest monthly increase since December 2008, mainly due to the rise in online job availability in Pennsylvania.

Year-over-year, East South Central and South Atlantic experienced the most modest rate of decline unlike Pacific, where recruitment activity slowed considerably.

Five of the Top 28 Major U.S. Metro Markets Register Increases in October; 8 Remain Flat
During October, online recruitment activity increased in eight of the 28 U.S. metro areas monitored by the Index, with Baltimore, Cincinnati and Detroit registering the largest gains. Baltimore edged up in October due to increase in demand for life, physical, and social science occupations as well as solid hiring trends in the military specific category, while the rise in Cincinnati was led by increased demand in the business and financial operations category.

Meanwhile, Boston and Washington, D.C. declined, following two months of growth due to reduced demand in the education, training and library sector.

On a year-over-year basis, Tampa and Sacramento saw the most moderate rate of decline, while Philadelphia and Cincinnati continue to show the steepest declines.

Forum: Fundamentally Speaking

FED Statement - 11/4/09

fib_1618 — Wed, 04 Nov 2009 19:20:17 GMT

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in September suggests that economic activity has continued to pick up. Conditions in financial markets were roughly unchanged, on balance, over the intermeeting period. Activity in the housing sector has increased over recent months. Household spending appears to be expanding but remains constrained by ongoing job losses, sluggish income growth, lower housing wealth, and tight credit. Businesses are still cutting back on fixed investment and staffing, though at a slower pace; they continue to make progress in bringing inventory stocks into better alignment with sales. Although economic activity is likely to remain weak for a time, the Committee anticipates that policy actions to stabilize financial markets and institutions, fiscal and monetary stimulus, and market forces will support a strengthening of economic growth and a gradual return to higher levels of resource utilization in a context of price stability.

With substantial resource slack likely to continue to dampen cost pressures and with longer-term inflation expectations stable, the Committee expects that inflation will remain subdued for some time.

In these circumstances, the Federal Reserve will continue to employ a wide range of tools to promote economic recovery and to preserve price stability. The Committee will maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1/4 percent and continues to anticipate that economic conditions, including low rates of resource utilization, subdued inflation trends, and stable inflation expectations, are likely to warrant exceptionally low levels of the federal funds rate for an extended period. To provide support to mortgage lending and housing markets and to improve overall conditions in private credit markets, the Federal Reserve will purchase a total of $1.25 trillion of agency mortgage-backed securities and about $175 billion of agency debt. The amount of agency debt purchases, while somewhat less than the previously announced maximum of $200 billion, is consistent with the recent path of purchases and reflects the limited availability of agency debt. In order to promote a smooth transition in markets, the Committee will gradually slow the pace of its purchases of both agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities and anticipates that these transactions will be executed by the end of the first quarter of 2010. The Committee will continue to evaluate the timing and overall amounts of its purchases of securities in light of the evolving economic outlook and conditions in financial markets. The Federal Reserve is monitoring the size and composition of its balance sheet and will make adjustments to its credit and liquidity programs as warranted.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Ben S. Bernanke, Chairman; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Elizabeth A. Duke; Charles L. Evans; Donald L. Kohn; Jeffrey M. Lacker; Dennis P. Lockhart; Daniel K. Tarullo; Kevin M. Warsh; and Janet L. Yellen

Forum: Fundamentally Speaking